The Season in a Snap

By Noonefromtampa

September 9, 2020

In addition to my weekly in-season column on penalties, I will provide updates on the Vegas sportsbook’s odds and my predictions on which games the Washington Football Team, aka the Team, is going to win.

For 2020, the Team has a new coaching staff led by Ron Rivera as head coach, Jack Del Rio as defensive coordinator and Scott Turner as offensive coordinator. The Las Vegas line for their expected 2020 win total is 5.5 games with the odds of winning the NFC Championship at 50-1 and winning the Super Bowl at 100-1.

In 2019, the Team was ranked 31st  in average yards gained per game and and 27th in average yards allowed per game.

Here are Washington’s 2020 opponents with the same 2019 offensive and defensive rankings also in yards per game, along with all-time franchise head-to-head records.

Week Opponent Date & Time Network 2019 Offense Rank 2019 Defense Rank Head to Head
1 Eagles Sun Sept 13 1:00 PM Fox 14 10 85-80-6
2 At Cardinals Sun Sept 20 4:05 PM Fox 21 32 77-46-2
3 At Browns Sun Sept 27 1:00 PM Fox 22 22 12-33-1
4 Ravens Sun Oct 4 1:00 PM CBS 2 4 3-3-0
5 Rams Sun Oct 11 1:00 PM Fox 7 13 24-11-1
6 At Giants Sun Oct 18 1:00PM Fox 23 25 68-102-4
7 Cowboys Sun Oct 25 1:00 PM Fox 1 9 43-73-2
8 Bye Week Nov 1
9 Giants Sun Nov 8 Fox 23 25 68-102-4
10 At Lions Sun Nov 15 1:00 PM Fox 17 31 28-14-0
11 Bengals Sun Nov 22 1:00 PM CBS 26 29 4-5-1
12 At Cowboys Thu Nov 26 4:30 PM Fox 1 9 43-73-2
13 At Steelers Sun Dec 6 1:00 PM Fox 30 5 42-33-3
14 At 49ers Sun Dec 13 4:25 PM Fox 4 2 10-18-1
15 Seahawks Sun Dec 20 1:00 PM Fox 8 26 12-5-0
16 Panthers Sun Dec 27 1:00 PM CBS 19 23 9-6-0
17 At Eagles Sun Jan 3 1:00 PM Fox 14 10 85-80-6

So, the big question is which games are the ones the Team has a shot at winning. Looking at the comparative rankings for offense and defense, the most logical possible wins would be:

  • Cardinals
  • Browns
  • Giants (home, away)
  • Lions
  • Bengals
  • Panthers

Of these seven games, three are home games (Giants, Bengals, Panthers) and four are away games (Cardinals, Browns, Giants, Lions). Away games are viewed as more difficult to win and home field advantage is usually awarded a +3 adjustment in the points spread by Vegas sportsbooks.

Here’s the season broken into four game quarters:

Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4
Game 1 Eagles

Line: WFT +6

Over/Under: 43

Noone: WFT

Result:

Rams

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Rams

Result:

@Lions

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: WFT

Result:

@49ers

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: 49ers

Result:

Game 2 @Cardinals

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Cardinals

Result:

@Giants

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Giants

Result:

Bengals

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: WFT

Result:

Seahawks

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Seahawks

Result:

Game 3 @Browns

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: WFT

Result:

Cowboys

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Cowboys

Result:

@Cowboys

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Cowboys

Result:

Panthers

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: WFT

Result:

Game 4 Ravens

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Ravens

Result:

Giants

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: WFT

Result:

@Steelers

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Steelers

Result:

@Eagles

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Eagles

Result:

My overall season prediction for the Team is 6-10. My prediction is affected by the fact that we haven’t been able to see any preseason games or practices. Can the ceiling for the Team be higher? Yes, it can, but that is dependent on the defense playing like a top 15 NFL defense and the offense improving to be in the upper middle tier of offenses (ranked between 16th and 21st in yards gained per game). If that happens, the Team can eek out an additional 1 to 3 wins. Of course, things can also go in the opposite direction, with Washington ending up with a top 5 pick in next year’s draft.