Road to the Draft – Part 9
March 16, 2021
By Noonefromtampa
Welcome to the latest edition of The Hog Sty’s mock draft tracker column.
By the time you read this article, the legal tampering portion of free agency will be going on. The actual new deals being signed will have to wait until March 17th. Brandon Scherff had the non-exclusive franchise tag applied, and he signed the contract.
The Mocks
This week the number of mock drafts published went from 161 to 178 as this pace we may have over 200 different mock drafts published before the draft. The position distribution is now as follows:
| Position | Picked Count | Picked % |
| QB | 55 | 30.90% |
| OT | 43 | 24.16% |
| WR | 30 | 16.85% |
| LB | 17 | 9.55% |
| IOL | 16 | 8.99% |
| CB | 7 | 3.93% |
| TE | 4 | 2.25% |
| S | 4 | 2.25% |
| Edge | 1 | 0.56% |
| DT | 1 | 0.56% |
| Grand Total | 178 | 100.00% |
The selection of quarterback as the pick at 19 for the Washington Football Team was down about 1.4% this week to 30.9%. Offensive tackle was up 2.4%, wide receiver was down 0.5%, interior offensive line was down 0.3% and linebacker was down 0.4%.
The players mock picked to WFT at nineteen in descending frequency are:
| Player | Position | School | Picked Count | Picked % |
| Mac Jones | QB | Alabama | 38 | 21.35% |
| Christian Darrisaw | OT | Virginia Tech | 28 | 15.73% |
| Trey Lance | QB | North Dakota State | 12 | 6.74% |
| Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah | LB | Notre Dame | 12 | 6.74% |
| Rashod Bateman | WR | Minnesota | 10 | 5.62% |
| Alijah Vera-Tucker | IOL | USC | 10 | 5.62% |
| Kadarius Toney | WR | Florida | 9 | 5.06% |
| Samuel Cosmi | OT | Texas | 8 | 4.49% |
| Teven Jenkins | IOL | Oklahoma State | 6 | 3.37% |
| Jaycee Horn | CB | South Carolina | 5 | 2.81% |
| Kyle Pitts | TE | Florida | 4 | 2.25% |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | Alabama | 4 | 2.25% |
| Micah Parsons | LB | Penn State | 3 | 1.69% |
| Alex Leatherwood | OT | Alabama | 3 | 1.69% |
| Rondale Moore | WR | Purdue | 3 | 1.69% |
| Trevon Moehrig-Woodard | S | TCU | 2 | 1.12% |
| Kyle Trask | QB | Florida | 2 | 1.12% |
| Devonta Smith | WR | Alabama | 2 | 1.12% |
| Zack Wilson | QB | BYU | 1 | 0.56% |
| Justin Fields | QB | Ohio St | 1 | 0.56% |
| Nick Bolton | LB | Missouri | 1 | 0.56% |
| Andre Cisco | S | Syracuse | 1 | 0.56% |
| Jaelan Phillips | Edge | Miami | 1 | 0.56% |
| Liam Eichenberg | OT | Notre Dame | 1 | 0.56% |
| Tua Tagovailoa | QB | Player Trade | 1 | 0.56% |
| Jaylen Mayfield | OT | Michigan | 1 | 0.56% |
| Terrace Marshall Jr | WR | LSU | 1 | 0.56% |
| Christian Barmore | DT | Alabama | 1 | 0.56% |
| Spencer Brown | OT | Northern Iowa | 1 | 0.56% |
| Eric Stokes | CB | Georgia | 1 | 0.56% |
| Dillon Radunz | OT | North Dakota State | 1 | 0.56% |
| Zaven Collins | LB | Tulsa | 1 | 0.56% |
| Patrick Surtain II | CB | Alabama | 1 | 0.56% |
| Elijah Moore | WR | Mississippi | 1 | 0.56% |
| Jevon Holland | S | Oregon | 1 | 0.56% |
The big mover this week was Christian Darrisaw, who was up 3.3% while Mac Jones was down 1% and Trey Lance was down 0.7%.
The breakdown of down the percentage picked within each position group for the top five positions is as follows:
- Quarterback – Mac Jones (69.1% of QB picks), Trey Lance (21.8%), Kyle Trask (3.6%)
- Offensive tackle – Christian Darrisaw (65.1% of OT picks), Samuel Cosmi (18.6%), Alex Leatherwood (7%)
- Wide receiver – Rashod Bateman (33.3% of WR picks), Kadarius Toney (30%), Jaylen Waddle (13.3%), Rondale Moore (10%), Devonta Smith (6.7%)
- Linebacker – Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (70.6%), Micah Parsons (17.6%), Zaven Collins (5.9%), Nick Bolton (5.9%)
- Interior Offensive Line – Alijah Vera-Tucker (62.5%), Teven Jenkins (37.5%)
The most common trades showing up in the mocks are trade ups for a quarterback, either Trey Lance or Mac Jones, with the most popular spots being #7-Detriot, and #14-Minnesota.
There are now two picks that don’t make much sense for WFT: Christian Barmore, defensive tackle from Alabama and Jaelan Phillips, the edge rusher from Miami. With the current investment in the defensive line, the next first round pick will be used to address other needs.
Regardless of any free agency moves, the draft priority for me right now is quarterback, linebacker, wide receiver, and cornerback.
If you have any draft questions, post them in the comments or hit me up on Twitter @noonefromtampa.
Source: nflmockdraftdatabase.com