Road to the Draft – Part 14
April 20, 2021
By Noonefromtampa
Welcome to the latest edition of The Hog Sty’s mock draft tracker column.
It’s a little over a week until the draft and this is the second to last column this draft season. The biggest conversation about the upcoming Washington Football Team draft is whether the team should trade up for a new quarterback, stay put at nineteen or move back for additional picks. Several members of the national media are still reporting that Washington is enamored with Trey Lance and will try to move up to select him. A number of recent mocks reflect a trade up scenario for WFT now – more detail about that later in this column.
There were no major moves made league-wide last week that impacted the overall draft.
The Mocks
The number of mock drafts published went up significantly this week from 241 to 261. For the first time since this draft season there is a new position atop Washington’s position distribution board. Linebacker has overtaken offensive tackle as the most likely position chosen by Washington in the draft. The position distribution is now:
| Position | Picked Count | Picked % | Last Week % | % Change |
| LB | 67 | 25.67% | 22.82% | 2.85% |
| OT | 59 | 22.61% | 25.31% | -2.71% |
| QB | 49 | 18.77% | 18.67% | 0.10% |
| IOL | 36 | 13.79% | 13.28% | 0.52% |
| WR | 33 | 12.64% | 13.69% | -1.05% |
| CB | 7 | 2.68% | 2.07% | 0.61% |
| S | 4 | 1.53% | 1.66% | -0.13% |
| Edge | 3 | 1.15% | 1.24% | -0.10% |
| TE | 2 | 0.77% | 0.83% | -0.06% |
| DT | 1 | 0.38% | 0.41% | -0.03% |
| Grand Total | 261 | 100% |
The full impact of Washington’s free agency signings is reflected in this new distribution. Linebacker rose nearly 3% this week, continuing the gains from last week. Offensive tackle and wide receiver were the biggest losers. The rest of the positions had minor fluctuations.
The players mock picked to WFT at nineteen in descending frequency are:
| Player | Position | School | Picked Count | Picked % |
| Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah | LB | Notre Dame | 43 | 16.48% |
| Christian Darrisaw | OT | Virginia Tech | 37 | 14.18% |
| Mac Jones | QB | Alabama | 31 | 11.88% |
| Rashod Bateman | WR | Minnesota | 20 | 7.66% |
| Teven Jenkins | IOL | Oklahoma State | 19 | 7.28% |
| Alijah Vera-Tucker | IOL | USC | 14 | 5.36% |
| Samuel Cosmi | OT | Texas | 13 | 4.98% |
| Zaven Collins | LB | Tulsa | 11 | 4.21% |
| Trey Lance | QB | North Dakota State | 10 | 3.83% |
| Micah Parsons | LB | Penn State | 6 | 2.30% |
| Kadarius Toney | WR | Florida | 6 | 2.30% |
| Jamin Davis | LB | Kentucky | 5 | 1.92% |
| Caleb Farley | CB | Virginia Tech | 4 | 1.53% |
| Alex Leatherwood | IOL | Alabama | 4 | 1.53% |
| Trevon Moehrig-Woodard | S | TCU | 3 | 1.15% |
| Justin Fields | QB | Ohio St | 3 | 1.15% |
| Liam Eichenberg | OT | Notre Dame | 3 | 1.15% |
| Jaylen Waddle | WR | Alabama | 3 | 1.15% |
| Rondale Moore | WR | Purdue | 2 | 0.77% |
| Kyle Pitts | TE | Florida | 2 | 0.77% |
| Jaelan Phillips | Edge | Miami | 2 | 0.77% |
| Dillon Radunz | OT | North Dakota State | 2 | 0.77% |
| Kyle Trask | QB | Florida | 2 | 0.77% |
| Devonta Smith | WR | Alabama | 2 | 0.77% |
| Azeez Ojulari | Edge | Georgia | 1 | 0.38% |
| Jaycee Horn | CB | South Carolina | 1 | 0.38% |
| Jalen Mayfield | OT | Michigan | 1 | 0.38% |
| Nick Bolton | LB | Missouri | 1 | 0.38% |
| Spencer Brown | OT | Northern Iowa | 1 | 0.38% |
| Jevon Holland | S | Oregon | 1 | 0.38% |
| Kellon Mond | QB | Texas A&M | 1 | 0.38% |
| Christian Barmore | DT | Alabama | 1 | 0.38% |
| Baron Browning | LB | Ohio St | 1 | 0.38% |
| Eric Stokes | CB | Georgia | 1 | 0.38% |
| Zack Wilson | QB | BYU | 1 | 0.38% |
| Greg Newsome II | CB | Northwestern | 1 | 0.38% |
| Rashawn Slater | OT | Northwestern | 1 | 0.38% |
| Tua Tagovailoa | QB | Player Trade | 1 | 0.38% |
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah has overtaken Christian Darrisaw to top the player leaderboard for the first time this season. Darrisaw was down over 2% from last week, while JOK was up 2.9%. Two other big movers this week are Mac Jones, who was down 2%, and Teven Jenkins, who was up 1.5%.
The break down of the percentage picked within the position group for the top five positions is as follows:
- Quarterback – Mac Jones (63.3% of QB picks), Trey Lance (20.4%), Justin Fields (6.1%), Kyle Trask (4.1%), Kellen Mond (2%), Zack Wilson (2%)
- Offensive tackle – Christian Darrisaw (63.8% of OT picks), Samuel Cosmi (22.4%), Liam Eichenberg (5.2%), Dillon Radnuz (3.5%), Spenser Brown (1.7%), Jalen Mayfield (1.7%), Rashawn Slater (1.7%)
- Wide receiver – Rashod Bateman (60.6% of WR picks), Kadarius Toney (18.2%), Jaylen Waddle (9.1%), Rondale Moore (6.1%), Devonta Smith (6.1%)
- Linebacker – Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (64.2%), Zaven Collins (16.4%), Micah Parsons (9%), Jamin Davis (7.5%), Nick Bolton (1.5%), Baron Browning (1.5%)
- Interior Offensive Line – Teven Jenkins (51.4%), Alijah Vera-Tucker (37.8%), Alex Leatherwood (10.8%)
Twenty-four mock drafts have WFT trading the #19 pick with the distribution being:
| Trade Made | Frequency |
| Trade up to #14 (Min) | 6 |
| Trade up to #7 (Det) | 5 |
| Trade up to #9 (Den) | 3 |
| Trade up to #8 (Car) | 2 |
| Trade down to #29 (GB) | 2 |
| Trade down to #23 (NYJ) | 1 |
| Trade up to #13 (SD) | 1 |
| Trade up to #3 (Mia) | 1 |
| Trade down to #21 (Ind) | 1 |
| Trade up to #16 (AZ) | 1 |
| Trade up to #15 (NE) | 1 |
| Grand Total | 24 |
Minnesota and Detroit are the most frequently mocked trade options, with Trey Lance and Mac Jones being the players taken most often. There were also four trade down scenarios mocked with various players taken.
If you have any draft questions, post them in the comments or hit me up on Twitter @noonefromtampa.
Source: nflmockdraftdatabase.com