2022 Road to the Draft – Part 11
March 30, 2022
By Noonefromtampa
Every week seems to bring more blockbuster trades. Deshaun Watson to Cleveland, Tyreek Hill to Miami are the latest trades. Picks are moving between teams faster than a bullet train, and all these trades will have a great impact on the draft and which players go to what teams.
The Commanders still hold the eleventh pick in the draft, but nine picks in the first round have changed hands, including one twice. As it stands today, two teams have back-to-back picks in round one, Philadelphia at 15/16 and Kansas City at 29/30. The Lions, Giants, Jets, Packers, Chiefs, Texans and Eagles all have multiple first round picks with the Eagles having three and the rest two.
Freshness Rating
This week, 31.5% of the mock data is one week old or newer, and 68.5% is two weeks or older. I expanded the age breakdown and as you can see there is a large bubble of mocks that have not been updated in 5 or more weeks. 55% of the mocks tracked have been updated in the last month.
| Age | Age % |
| New | 22.99% |
| 1 Week Old | 8.56% |
| 2 Weeks Old | 23.53% |
| 3 Weeks Old | 6.95% |
| 4 Weeks Old | 6.95% |
| 5+ Weeks Old | 31.02% |
| Grand Total | 100.00% |
Position Distribution
The number of mocks is up 9 this week to 187 overall, up over 5% from last week. As expected in the post-trade for Wentz environment, mockers projecting a quarterback as the first pick for the Commanders shrunk again this week by 20.4%. The big winner was the wide receiver position, followed by cornerback.
| Position | Picked Count | Picked % | Last Week % | % Change |
| QB | 94 | 50.27% | 70.66% | -20.39% |
| WR | 47 | 25.13% | 13.17% | 11.96% |
| CB | 22 | 11.76% | 6.59% | 5.18% |
| OT | 8 | 4.28% | 2.40% | 1.88% |
| IOL | 6 | 3.21% | 2.99% | 0.21% |
| S | 5 | 2.67% | 1.20% | 1.48% |
| LB | 4 | 2.14% | 1.80% | 0.34% |
| TE | 1 | 0.53% | 0.60% | -0.06% |
| Edge | 0 | 0.00% | 0.60% | -0.60% |
| RB | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| DT | 0 | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Grand Total | 187 | 100% |
If you consider that 55% of the mocks comprise the most recent updates, the change is even more noticeable. Wide receiver is the most frequently picked position among those mockers.
| Position | Pick Count | Pick % |
| WR | 43 | 41.75% |
| QB | 29 | 28.16% |
| CB | 17 | 16.50% |
| OT | 6 | 5.83% |
| IOL | 3 | 2.91% |
| S | 3 | 2.91% |
| LB | 1 | 0.97% |
| TE | 1 | 0.97% |
| Grand Total | 103 | 100.00% |
The players mock picked to Washington at the 11th pick are in descending frequency:
| Player | Position | School | Picked Count | Picked % |
| Kenny Pickett | QB | Pittsburgh | 32 | 17.11% |
| Malik Willis | QB | Liberty | 24 | 12.83% |
| Garrett Wilson | WR | Ohio State | 18 | 9.63% |
| Drake London | WR | USC | 18 | 9.63% |
| Matt Corral | QB | Mississippi | 17 | 9.09% |
| Sam Howell | QB | North Carolina | 15 | 8.02% |
| Derek Stingley Jr | CB | LSU | 13 | 6.95% |
| Ahmad Gardner | CB | Cincinnati | 7 | 3.74% |
| Treylon Burks | WR | Arkansas | 5 | 2.67% |
| Chris Olave | WR | Ohio State | 5 | 2.67% |
| Kyle Hamilton | S | Notre Dame | 4 | 2.14% |
| Desmond Ridder | QB | Cincinnati | 4 | 2.14% |
| Devin Lloyd | LB | Utah | 3 | 1.60% |
| Trevor Penning | OT | Northern Iowa | 3 | 1.60% |
| Charles Cross | OT | Mississippi State | 3 | 1.60% |
| Kenyon Green | IOL | Texas A&M | 2 | 1.07% |
| Zion Johnson | IOL | Boston College | 2 | 1.07% |
| Ikem Ekwonu | OT | NC State | 2 | 1.07% |
| Tyler Linderbaum | IOL | Iowa | 2 | 1.07% |
| Trent McDuffie | CB | Washington | 1 | 0.53% |
| David Carr | QB | NFL – LVR | 1 | 0.53% |
| Trey McBride | TE | Colorado State | 1 | 0.53% |
| Nakobe Dean | LB | Georgia | 1 | 0.53% |
| Russell Wilson | QB | SEA | 1 | 0.53% |
| Daxton Hill | S | Michigan | 1 | 0.53% |
| Andrew Booth Jr. | CB | Clemson | 1 | 0.53% |
| Jameson Williams | WR | Alabama | 1 | 0.53% |
| Grand Total | 187 | 100.00% |
Overall, quarterbacks still hold the top two positions in the player rankings, but two wide receivers, Garrett Wilson and Drake London, have climbed into the third and fourth spots on the board.
When the data is broken into the most recent 55% of mock drafts, Wilson and London are tied for the top spot with Pickett, with Stingley and Willis rounding out the top 5 players. For fans hoping for the pick to be a wide receiver, this will be welcome news.
Trades
There were no new or revised trades this week. The Commanders are in a good spot in the draft for trade back if a team with more draft resources wants to move up for a specific player remaining on the draft board at the number 11 pick.
| Days Old | Notes | Trade Direction | Trade Position | Trade Team | Player |
| 13 | Atlanta receives pick 11, 42, 2023 3rd rounder, Washington receives picks 8 and 2023 7th rounder. | Up | 8 | ATL | Malik Willis |
| 15 | Commanders receive Saints 1st, 2nd, and 5th round picks | Down | 18 | NO | Zion Johnson |
| 16 | Pittsburgh Steelers receive pick 11. Washington Commanders receive picks 20, 52, 2023 third-round pick | Down | 20 | PIT | Chris Olave |
| 19 | Washington Commanders receive picks 18, 49, and 100. New Orleans Saints receive pick 11 | Down | 18 | NO | Sam Howell |
| 33 | Washington Commanders send 2022 1st round pick, 2023 1st round pick, 2022 2nd round pick for QB Russell Wilson | Player | N/A | SEA | Russell Wilson |
| 38 | Washington sends picks 11, 42 to Carolina for pick 6 | Up | 6 | CAR | Malik Willis |
| 27 | Washington Commanders send picks 11 and 42 to the Carolina Panthers for picks 6 and 144 | Up | 6 | CAR | Kenny Pickett |
| 35 | Washington sends pick 11 to Las Vegas for David Carr | Player | N/A | LVR | David Carr |
Time until NFL Draft on April 28-30: 4 weeks
Sources: nflmockdraftdatabase.com