2022 Road to the Draft – Part 13

April 13, 2022

By Noonefromtampa

The NFL took a sad turn this past week with the untimely passing of Dwayne Haskins. While his time in Washington wasn’t all that the fans and coaches hoped it would, he was a young player still trying to improve and find his way in the league. Unfulfilled dreams and family left behind, including his young bride, just add to the depth of the poignant and tragic story.

We’re another week closer to the draft and the Commanders are interviewing players pre-draft. The list of players (with project draft round) being talked to according to various tweets sent out by the Commanders beat reporters include:

  • Ohio State WR Chris Olave (1st)
  • Alabama WR John Metchie III (2nd)
  • Michigan S Daxton Hill (1st)
  • Penn State OL Rasheed Walker (3rd)
  • UTSA OG Spencer Burford (5th)
  • Washington State OL Abraham Lucas (3rd)
  • Central Michigan OL Luke Goedeke (4th)
  • Penn State S Jaquan Brisker (2nd)
  • Iowa State RB Breece Hall (2nd)
  • Oklahoma DT Perrion Winfrey (2nd)
  • Michigan State RB Kenneth Walker III (2nd)
  • Texas A&M TE Jalen Wydermyer (4th)
  • LSU RB Tyrion Davis-Price (7th or UDFA)
  • Tulsa OL Tyler Smith (2nd)
  • San Diego State Edge Cameron Thomas (2nd)
  • Wyoming LB Chad Muma (3rd)

Freshness Rating

54.7% of the mock data for this week is 20 days or newer and 45.3% is 21 days or older.  59.6% of the mocks tracked have been updated in the last month (within 28 days).

Age Age %
New 26.01%
1 Week Old 17.04%
2 Weeks Old 11.66%
3 Weeks Old 4.93%
4 Weeks Old 13.45%
5+ Weeks Old 26.91%
Grand Total 100.00%

 Position Distribution

The number of mocks is up 19 this week to 223 overall, up over 9% from last week.  The wide receiver position has now overtaken quarterback, down 7.25% this week, as the most frequently picked position.  Kyle Hamilton being mocked to Washington has driven the 4.8% surge in the safety position.

Position Picked Count Picked % Last Week % % Change
WR 78 34.98% 31.37% 3.61%
QB 68 30.49% 37.75% -7.25%
CB 26 11.66% 13.73% -2.07%
S 26 11.66% 6.86% 4.80%
OT 9 4.04% 4.90% -0.87%
LB 8 3.59% 2.45% 1.14%
IOL 4 1.79% 1.96% -0.17%
DT 2 0.90% 0.49% 0.41%
TE 1 0.45% 0.49% -0.04%
Edge 1 0.45% 0.00% 0.45%
RB 0 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Grand Total 223 100%    

Looking at the mocks from the past 20 days, quarterback has fallen to sixth on the list and wide receiver accounts for almost 50% of the picks.

Row Labels Pick Count Pick %
WR 60 49.18%
S 24 19.67%
CB 20 16.39%
OT 5 4.10%
LB 4 3.28%
QB 3 2.46%
DT 2 1.64%
IOL 2 1.64%
Edge 1 0.82%
TE 1 0.82%
Grand Total 122 100.00%

The players mock picked to Washington at the 11th pick are, in descending frequency:

Player Position School Picked Count Picked %
Garrett Wilson WR Ohio State 34 15.25%
Drake London WR USC 31 13.90%
Kenny Pickett QB Pittsburgh 27 12.11%
Kyle Hamilton S Notre Dame 25 11.21%
Derek Stingley Jr CB LSU 20 8.97%
Malik Willis QB Liberty 18 8.07%
Sam Howell QB North Carolina 12 5.38%
Chris Olave WR Ohio State 8 3.59%
Matt Corral QB Mississippi 8 3.59%
Devin Lloyd LB Utah 7 3.14%
Charles Cross OT Mississippi State 6 2.69%
Ahmad Gardner CB Cincinnati 4 1.79%
Treylon Burks WR Arkansas 4 1.79%
Desmond Ridder QB Cincinnati 3 1.35%
Jordan Davis DT Georgia 2 0.90%
Tyler Linderbaum IOL Iowa 2 0.90%
Kenyon Green IOL Texas A&M 2 0.90%
Ikem Ekwonu OT NC State 2 0.90%
Nakobe Dean LB Georgia 1 0.45%
Trey McBride TE Colorado State 1 0.45%
Trent McDuffie CB Washington 1 0.45%
Trevor Penning OT Northern Iowa 1 0.45%
Daxton Hill S Michigan 1 0.45%
Jameson Williams WR Alabama 1 0.45%
Jermaine Johnson Edge Florida State 1 0.45%
Andrew Booth Jr. CB Clemson 1 0.45%
Grand Total 223 100.00%

Garrett Wilson and Drake London have climbed into the first and second spots on the board, continuing their steady climb over the past weeks.

Looking at the mocks from the past 20 days, the top 10 picks are as follows, with only one quarterback in the list. Garrett Wilson has a small lead over Drake London with defensive backs Kyle Hamilton and Derek Stingley Jr. rounding out the top 4 picks which cover over 80% of the mock picks. So, according to the mockers, if Washington stays at the 11th pick, the odds that one of those four will be Washington’s pick.

Player Position School Picked Count Picked %
Garrett Wilson WR Ohio State 29 23.77%
Drake London WR USC 25 20.49%
Kyle Hamilton S Notre Dame 24 19.67%
Derek Stingley Jr CB LSU 17 13.93%
Chris Olave WR Ohio State 5 4.10%
Devin Lloyd LB Utah 4 3.28%
Ahmad Gardner CB Cincinnati 3 2.46%
Charles Cross OT Mississippi State 3 2.46%
Jordan Davis DT Georgia 2 1.64%
Kenny Pickett QB Pittsburgh 2 1.64%

Trades

There were no new trades this period. Trades from prior weeks that have not been updated include:

Days Old Notes Trade Direction Trade Position Trade Team Player
10 WSH trades #11 to LAC for #17 and other picks Down 17 LAC Chris Olave
30 Pittsburgh Steelers receive pick 11. Washington Commanders receive picks 20, 52, 2023 third-round pick Up 8 ATL Malik Willis
33 Washington Commanders receive picks 18, 49, and 100. New Orleans Saints receive pick 11 Down 20 PIT Chris Olave
27 Atlanta receives pick 11, 42, 2023 3rd rounder, Washington receives picks 8 and 2023 7th rounder. Down 18 NO Sam Howell
41 Washington Commanders send picks 11 and 42 to the Carolina Panthers for picks 6 and 144 Up 6 CAR Kenny Pickett

Time until NFL Draft on April 28-30: 2 weeks

 

Sources: nflmockdraftdatabase.com