2023 Road to the Draft – Part 16

May 2, 2023

By Noonefromtampa

The draft is over, so this is the wrap-up column for this series, this year. Sites are now starting to publish their draft grades of how teams spent their picks, and those grades have about the same accuracy right now as the mock drafts I have been writing about for the past several months.

Don’t expect the draft pundits to rate the Commanders 2023 draft pool very highly, most grades will be some form of a C grade.

Overall, in the tracked mock draft data nearly 64% of the mocks had the correct position identified, cornerback, although only 4.44% correctly chose the right player being selected.

Some Draft Stats

The following is the breakdown of the 259 players selected by position:

  • 36 Cornerbacks
  • 33 Wide receivers
  • 30 Linebackers
  • 22 Defensive ends
  • 21 Defensive tackles
  • 20 safeties
  • 19 Offensive tackles
  • 18 Running backs
  • 15 Offensive guards
  • 15 Tight ends
  • 14 Quarterbacks
  • 9 centers
  • 3 Placekickers
  • 3 punters
  • 1 fullback

By Conference:

Conference Count
SEC 62
Big Ten 55
ACC 32
Big 12 30
Pac-12 27
The American 10
Sun Belt 9
Ind. (FBS) 7
MAC 7
MW 5
C-USA 3
MVFC 2
WAC 1
SAC 1
SWAC 1
OVC 1
Big Sky 1
GLIAC 1
ASUN 1
NEC 1
Ivy 1
CAA 1
Grand Total 259

By School:

College Count
Georgia 10
Alabama 10
Michigan 9
TCU 8
Oregon 6
LSU 6
Penn State 6
Pittsburgh 6
Florida 6
Clemson 6
Ohio State 6
Maryland 5
South Carolina 5
Purdue 5
Oklahoma 5
Stanford 5
Tennessee 5
Auburn 5
Texas 5
USC 4
Illinois 4
UCLA 4
North Carolina 4
Ole Miss 4
Iowa 4
Houston 4
Kansas State 4
Northwestern 4
Notre Dame 3
Texas A&M 3
Old Dominion 3
Kentucky 3
Minnesota 3
Louisville 3
Cincinnati 3
BYU 3
Iowa State 3
Miami (FL) 3
Utah 3
Michigan State 3
Wisconsin 3
Syracuse 2
Oregon State 2
Mississippi State 2
Nebraska 2
Appalachian State 2
Oklahoma State 2
Boise State 2
Eastern Michigan 2
Tulane 2
Arkansas 2
Wake Forest 2
Missouri 1
Texas Tech 1
Baylor 1
Central Michigan 1
UAB 1
North Dakota State 1
Stephen F. Austin 1
Northern Michigan 1
Louisiana 1
Florida State 1
Troy 1
Fresno State 1
Boston College 1
Princeton 1
Virginia Tech 1
Charlotte 1
Liberty 1
Wingate 1
California 1
Kennesaw State 1
Arizona State 1
San Jose State 1
Toledo 1
Wagner 1
New Mexico 1
Washington State 1
Jackson State 1
Western Kentucky 1
UT Martin 1
William & Mary 1
Virginia 1
Southern Miss 1
Bowling Green 1
Ball State 1
SMU 1
West Virginia 1
South Alabama 1
Western Michigan 1
Georgia Tech 1
NC State 1
South Dakota State 1
Rutgers 1
Sacramento State 1
Grand Total 259

Who had the Most Accurate Mock

According to TheHuddleReport.com method of scoring, there was a tie between Sean Green of Sports Gambling Podcast and Sam Teets of Sports Talk with Sam Teets, who both had a final score of 45. This breaks down to 10 picks being correctly matched to the correct team and correctly identifying 25 of 31 overall first round picks. The new overall leaderboard on their site is:

  1. Brendon Donahue, Sharp Football Analysis – 43.6
  2. Eddie Brown, San Diego Union-Tribune – 43.6
  3. David P. Woods, theScore – 43.4
  4. Matthew Jones, Draft Examiner – 43.8
  5. Jason Boris, Times News – 42.8
  6. Shane P. Hallam, Draft Countdown – 42.6
  7. Ben Standig, The Athletic – 42.6 (3x Champion)
  8. Josh Norris, Underdog Fantasy – 42.6 (1x Champion)
  9. John Daigle, 4for4 Football – 42.0
  10. Forrest N Long, The Huddle Report – 42.0 (2x Champion)

Mock Draft Data

Here are the final numbers for the 2023 draft.

Position Picked Count Picked % Last Week % % Change
CB 245 63.97% 66.26% -2.29%
OT 54 14.10% 10.74% 3.36%
QB 29 7.57% 7.98% -0.40%
Edge 16 4.18% 0.61% 3.56%
TE 15 3.92% 6.13% -2.22%
RB 7 1.83% 2.45% -0.63%
IOL 7 1.83% 2.15% -0.32%
DL 4 1.04% 1.23% -0.18%
LB 4 1.04% 2.15% -1.10%
WR 1 0.26% 0.31% -0.05%
S 0 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Grand Total 382 100%  

 

Player Position School Picked Count Picked %
Joey Porter Jr CB Penn State 85 22.19%
Deonte Banks CB Maryland 43 11.23%
Christian Gonzalez CB Oregon 37 9.66%
Devon Witherspoon CB Illinois 32 8.36%
Darnell Wright OT Tennessee 23 6.01%
Broderick Jones OT Georgia 19 4.96%
Emmanuel Forbes CB Mississippi State 17 4.44%
Brian Branch CB Alabama 17 4.44%
Will Levis QB Kentucky 15 3.92%
Anthony Richardson QB Florida 10 2.61%
Dalton Kincaid TE Utah 8 2.09%
Cam Smith CB South Carolina 7 1.83%
Bijan Robinson RB Texas 7 1.83%
Myles Murphy Edge Clemson 7 1.83%
Kelee Ringo CB Georgia 7 1.83%
O’Cyrus Torrence IOL Florida 7 1.83%
Michael Mayer TE Notre Dame 6 1.57%
Peter Skoronski OT Northwestern 6 1.57%
Lukas Van Ness Edge Iowa 5 1.31%
Hendon Hooker QB Tennessee 4 1.04%
Nolan Smith Edge Georgia 3 0.78%
Bryan Bresee DL Clemson 3 0.78%
Paris Johnson Jr OT Ohio State 3 0.78%
Anton Harrison OT Oklahoma 3 0.78%
Trenton Simpson LB Clemson 2 0.52%
Drew Sanders LB Arkansas 2 0.52%
Traded Out – No Pick None None 1 0.26%
Luke Musgrave TE Oregon State 1 0.26%
Isaiah Foskey Edge Notre Dame 1 0.26%
Mike Morris DL Michigan 1 0.26%
Jalin Hyatt WR Tennessee 1 0.26%
Grand Total 383 100.00%

 

Sources: nflmockdraftdatabase.com, grindingthemocks.com, nfldraftbuzz.com, overthcap.com, spotrac.com, pro-football-reference.com, thehuddlereport.com