The Season in a Snap – Week 2

By Noonefromtampa

September 26, 2020

Week 2 saw the euphoric bubble burst for the Washington Football Team (WFT). After the impressive, come from behind victory over the Eagles, the Team came out flat on the road and dug a 20-0 hole they could not overcome. While the Team took a loss, I correctly predicted the outcome. They are now tied for first, after the Atlanta Falcons folded up the tent against the Dallas Cowboys, allowing them to overcome a huge deficit. Both teams are 1-1 for the season.

The New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles both lost and start the season 0-2, which gave them about a 12% chance of making the playoffs given the history of 0-2 teams over the last 30 years.

This week the Browns are a 7.5-point favorite at home over the WFT. The over/under is 45 points. I’m going against the grain this week and taking WFT for the win.

Cynthia Frelund, the statistical analyst at the NFL Network, gives the Browns a 66% chance of winning with a predicted score of 26-17.

  2020 Offensive Rank 2020 Defensive Rank
Team Pass Run Pass Run
WFT 31 – 277.5 ypg 13 – 351.5 ypg
31 – 179.0 ypg 25 – 98.5 ypg 18 – 243.0 ypg 25 – 108.5 ypg
Browns 16 – 370.0 ypg 18 – 367.0 ypg
28 – 193.8 ypg 2 – 176.5 ypg 28 – 277.5 ypg 6 – 89.5 ypg

Offensive Rank based on average yards gained per game

Defensive Rank based on average yards allowed per game

Remaining schedule:

Week Opponent Date & Time Network 2019 Off Rank 2019 Def Rank Head to Head
3 At Browns Sun Sept 27 1:00 PM Fox 22 22 12-33-1
4 Ravens Sun Oct 4 1:00 PM CBS 2 4 3-3-0
5 Rams Sun Oct 11 1:00 PM Fox 7 13 24-11-1
6 At Giants Sun Oct 18 1:00PM Fox 23 25 68-102-4
7 Cowboys Sun Oct 25 1:00 PM Fox 1 9 43-73-2
8 Bye Week Nov 1
9 Giants Sun Nov 8 Fox 23 25 68-102-4
10 At Lions Sun Nov 15 1:00 PM Fox 17 31 28-14-0
11 Bengals Sun Nov 22 1:00 PM CBS 26 29 4-5-1
12 At Cowboys Thu Nov 26 4:30 PM Fox 1 9 43-73-2
13 At Steelers Sun Dec 6 1:00 PM Fox 30 5 42-33-3
14 At 49ers Sun Dec 13 4:25 PM Fox 4 2 10-18-1
15 Seahawks Sun Dec 20 1:00 PM Fox 8 26 12-5-0
16 Panthers Sun Dec 27 1:00 PM CBS 19 23 9-6-0
17 At Eagles Sun Jan 3 1:00 PM Fox 14 10 85-80-6

 

Tracking the season broken into four game quarters:

Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4
Game 1 Eagles

Line: WFT +6

Over/Under: 45

Noone: WFT

Result: Win 27-17

Rams

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Rams

Result:

@Lions

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: WFT

Result:

@49ers

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: 49ers

Result:

Game 2 @Cardinals

Line: WFT +6.5

Over/Under: 47.5

Noone: Cardinals

Result: Loss 30-15

@Giants

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Giants

Result:

Bengals

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: WFT

Result:

Seahawks

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Seahawks

Result:

Game 3 @Browns

Line: WFT +6.5

Over/Under: 45

Noone: WFT

Result:

Cowboys

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Cowboys

Result:

@Cowboys

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Cowboys

Result:

Panthers

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: WFT

Result:

Game 4 Ravens

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Ravens

Result:

Giants

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: WFT

Result:

@Steelers

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Steelers

Result:

@Eagles

Line:

Over/Under:

Noone: Eagles

Result:

Results Noone: 2-2

Actual: 1-1

Noone: 1-3

Actual:

Noone: 2-2

Actual:

Noone: 1-3

Actual:

 

Sources: NFL.com